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Cudillero vs Langreo

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Cudillero and Langreo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Langreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cudillero
15%
Draws
85%
Langreo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Langreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Langreo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Langreo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Langreo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 20%
Langreo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cudillero Langreo
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 3 20
Draws 0 7
Losses 30 9
Goals Scored 0.15 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Langreo
1:3
Dec 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Cudillero
4:0
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Langreo
1:2
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Cudillero
1:0
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Langreo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cudillero 12 / 100
Langreo 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cudillero Langreo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Langreo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Langreo conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Cudillero found the back of the net in 9% of recent matches (33 games).

Langreo's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Langreo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cudillero

(Home)
17 May
Cudillero
0 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
10 May
Astur
2 : 0
Cudillero
03 May
Praviano
2 : 0
Cudillero
26 Apr
Cudillero
0 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Apr
Llanes
2 : 0
Cudillero
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Langreo

(Away)
27 Sept
Langreo
3 : 2
Praviano
20 Sept
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Langreo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)