Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuiaba vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Gama de Almeida M.
41' Event
Guilherme Mansano
45' Event
Adriano Bispo

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Porto Vitoria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Cuiaba
28%
Draws
50%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Cuiaba haven't matched Porto Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Porto Vitoria taking it.
  • Porto Vitoria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Vitoria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 21%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Cuiaba vs Porto Vitoria
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Mansano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Barbara
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gama de Almeida M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adriano Bispo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 24 / 100
Porto Vitoria 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Porto Vitoria let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cuiaba scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Porto Vitoria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2
Cuiaba
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0
America MG
25 Jun
Cuiaba
2 : 2
Londrina
21 Jun
Avai
1 : 0
Cuiaba
14 Jun
Cuiaba
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC
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Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC522110:48
2Rio Branco ES52215:48
3Operario MS52218:108
4Araguaina52126:47
5Capital51316:76
6Primavera AC50236:122
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama55008:315
2Anapolis53029:39
3Atletico GO52125:57
4Porto Vitoria52127:87
5Tocantinopolis50322:53
6Cuiaba50142:91
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)