Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuiaba vs Sport Sinop

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Derik Lacerda
(Penalty)
18' Event
Derik Lacerda
23' Event
Juan Christian

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2025 game between Cuiaba and Sport Sinop finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cuiaba
30%
Draws
27%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Sport Sinop on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cuiaba's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Sport Sinop
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.35 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Cuiaba
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Sport Sinop
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Sport Sinop
5:0
Feb 1, 2023 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Sport Sinop
3:0
Feb 16, 2022 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Cuiaba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Derik Lacerda
2 Goals
Assists Leader Juan Christian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sport Sinop Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 86 / 100
Sport Sinop 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Sport Sinop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cuiaba's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sport Sinop conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
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Sport Sinop

(Away)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)