Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cumbaya play 22 de Julio in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cumbaya averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. 22 de Julio averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Cumbaya won 3, 22 de Julio won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 2, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Cumbaya and 0.63 for 22 de Julio. This points to a Cumbaya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cumbaya
20%
Draws
33%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Cumbaya picked up more points recently compared to 22 de Julio.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 29%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya 22 de Julio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
4:0
Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
2:1
Oct 15, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:3
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Jun 10, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 48 / 100
22 de Julio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya 22 de Julio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cumbaya or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cumbaya attacking → ← attacking 22 de Julio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbaya scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

22 de Julio let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cumbaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

22 de Julio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 28
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nueve de Octubre1585219:1129
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
5Cumbaya1656519:1621
6Vinotinto1555520:1320
7San Antonio1547418:1519
8LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
9Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1604129:271