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Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Cumbaya Logo

Cumbaya

4 - 0
FT
22 de Julio Logo

22 de Julio

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
54' Event
68' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cumbaya in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumbaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cumbaya
20%
Draws
0%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cumbaya have won more games recently than 22 de Julio.
  • Cumbaya are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya 22 de Julio
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 13 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 0.9 0.46
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
4:0
Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
2:1
Oct 15, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:3
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Jun 10, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 76 / 100
22 de Julio 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

22 de Julio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

22 de Julio lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cumbaya scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS 22 de Julio
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
20 Aug
Atletico FC
3 : 0
Cumbaya
13 Aug
Cumbaya
3 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
Page 1 of 6

22 de Julio

(Away)
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
27 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
21 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 0
22 de Julio
14 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)