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Cumbaya vs Dep. Santo Domingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Balda M.
32' Event
Balda M.
35' Event
Isopi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cumbaya
15%
Draws
46%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Santo Domingo lately — more wins on the board than Cumbaya.
  • Cumbaya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.11 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Dep. Santo Domingo
0:3
Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya
2:1
Aug 13, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Dep. Santo Domingo
3:3
May 23, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Balda M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Isopi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Calderon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 59 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya Dep. Santo Domingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cumbaya found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Dep. Santo Domingo conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cumbaya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS Dep. Santo Domingo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Santo Domingo

(Away)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)