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Cumbaya vs Nueve de Octubre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cumbaya and Nueve de Octubre finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cumbaya
15%
Draws
42%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nueve de Octubre come out ahead of Cumbaya on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cumbaya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 68%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Cumbaya
1:0
Jul 1, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Apr 24, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Cumbaya
1:2
Oct 18, 2022 Liga Pro
Nueve de Octubre vs Cumbaya
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 59 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya Nueve de Octubre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Nueve de Octubre registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cumbaya scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nueve de Octubre conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS Nueve de Octubre
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
Page 1 of 6

Nueve de Octubre

(Away)
08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)