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Cumbaya vs Nueve de Octubre

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cumbaya and Nueve de Octubre finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cumbaya
28%
Draws
22%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nueve de Octubre come out ahead of Cumbaya on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cumbaya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 68%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Cumbaya
1:0
Jul 1, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Apr 24, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Cumbaya
1:2
Oct 18, 2022 Liga Pro
Nueve de Octubre vs Cumbaya
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 59 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya Nueve de Octubre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cumbaya scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Nueve de Octubre has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Cumbaya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS Nueve de Octubre
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
04 Jun
Vinotinto
1 : 1
Cumbaya
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Nueve de Octubre

(Away)
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
04 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
03 Jun
Atletico FC
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7San Antonio1849520:2021
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)