Sport Picks
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
SA State League 
Match Events
8'
8'
Greaves K.
Own Goal
10'
10'
Parker R.
20'
20'
Min D.
AI Match Summary
The SA State League game between Cumberland United and South Adelaide finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumberland United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumberland United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- South Adelaide haven't matched Cumberland United's recent run of results.
- Model gives Cumberland United a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cumberland United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cumberland United | South Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide
5:1
Mar 21, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Cumberland United
0:5
Jun 14, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Cumberland United
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide
3:1
Jul 30, 2022 NPL South Australia
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide
0:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cumberland United Compare
Top Goalscorer Min D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tuohy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
South Adelaide Compare
Top Goalscorer Parker R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cumberland United 85 / 100
South Adelaide 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cumberland United South Adelaide
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cumberland United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Adelaide's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Cumberland United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).
South Adelaide lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cumberland United VS South Adelaide
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cumberland United
(Home) 15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1 Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2 Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2 Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1 Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1 Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2 Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1 Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3 Heidelberg Utd
04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Page 1 of 4
South Adelaide
(Away) 15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3 Adelaide Atletico
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3 South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3 Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1 South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2 The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3 South Adelaide
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1 South Adelaide
04 Jul
Blue Eagles
4 : 1 South Adelaide
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1 South Adelaide
13 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 2 South Adelaide
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 56:26 | 47 |
| 2 | Modbury Jets | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 46:20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide Olympic | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 42:25 | 43 |
| 4 | Fulham United | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 42:31 | 37 |
| 5 | Blue Eagles | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 6 | Adelaide Atletico | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 40:34 | 36 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 36:28 | 34 |
| 8 | The Cove FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29:36 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern United | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 25:44 | 22 |
| 10 | Adelaide Cobras | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22:45 | 20 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 28:48 | 17 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 26:62 | 15 |
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
