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Cumbernauld Colts vs East Fife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. East Fife have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Cumbernauld Colts have conceded 1.96 and scored 2.07. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.81, favoring Cumbernauld Colts. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cumbernauld Colts
20%
Draws
29%
East Fife
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cumbernauld Colts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cumbernauld Colts have won more games recently than East Fife.
  • Win probability leans Cumbernauld Colts's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Cumbernauld Colts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 11%
East Fife Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbernauld Colts East Fife
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbernauld Colts 65 / 100
East Fife 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbernauld Colts East Fife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbernauld Colts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cumbernauld Colts scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: East Fife conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Cumbernauld Colts has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: East Fife registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbernauld Colts VS East Fife
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbernauld Colts

(Home)
03 Oct
Haddington Athletic
0 : 2
Cumbernauld Colts
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Albion Rovers
2 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 6

East Fife

(Away)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)