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Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between Cumbernauld Colts and Gretna 2008 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumbernauld Colts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Cumbernauld Colts
30%
Draws
8%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cumbernauld Colts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Cumbernauld Colts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cumbernauld Colts a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 10%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbernauld Colts Gretna 2008
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.06 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008
3:2
Aug 15, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts
3:3
Apr 4, 2026 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts
2:1
Dec 10, 2024 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbernauld Colts 83 / 100
Gretna 2008 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbernauld Colts Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbernauld Colts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbernauld Colts found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Gretna 2008 let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Cumbernauld Colts has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cumbernauld Colts VS Gretna 2008
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbernauld Colts

(Home)
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
29 Aug
Troon FC
1 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
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Gretna 2008

(Away)
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
29 Aug
Largs Thistle
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
22 Aug
Clydebank FC
7 : 1
Gretna 2008
15 Aug
Gretna 2008
3 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linlithgow Rose 34 24 3 7 89:39 75
2 Clydebank FC 34 23 4 7 94:39 73
3 Bonnyrigg Rose 34 21 6 7 79:42 69
4 Tranent FC 34 20 7 7 63:32 67
5 Caledonian Braves 34 18 5 11 75:48 59
6 Cumbernauld Colts 34 17 5 12 72:53 56
7 Broxburn Athletic 34 15 7 12 68:61 52
8 Berwick 34 14 7 13 62:68 49
9 Boness United 34 14 6 14 61:56 48
10 Celtic B 34 12 10 12 73:71 46
11 Cowdenbeath 34 12 9 13 51:53 45
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 13 2 19 52:66 41
13 Albion Rovers 34 12 3 19 48:71 39
14 Civil Service Strollers 34 11 5 18 40:79 38
15 Stirling University 34 9 7 18 55:82 34
16 Hearts B 34 7 8 19 42:78 29
17 Gretna 2008 34 7 7 20 50:90 28
18 East Stirlingshire 34 5 3 26 48:94 18
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)