Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hislop J.
Assist: Higginbotham K.
4' Event
Hislop J.
90' Event
Flatman Z.
Assist: Cunningham R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cumbernauld Colts
30%
Draws
42%
Kelty Hearts
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kelty Hearts lately — more wins on the board than Cumbernauld Colts.
  • Win probability leans Cumbernauld Colts's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Kelty Hearts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 10%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbernauld Colts Kelty Hearts
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.89 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts
0:3
Nov 25, 2020 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts
0:2
Nov 21, 2020 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs Cumbernauld Colts
5:0
Mar 21, 2020 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs Cumbernauld Colts
0:0
Aug 17, 2019 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbernauld Colts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Hislop J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Flatman Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbernauld Colts 34 / 100
Kelty Hearts 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbernauld Colts Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Cumbernauld Colts scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cumbernauld Colts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbernauld Colts VS Kelty Hearts
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbernauld Colts

(Home)
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
29 Aug
Troon FC
1 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
22 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
15 Aug
Gretna 2008
3 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
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Kelty Hearts

(Away)
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Aug
Kelty Hearts
2 : 4
Clydebank FC
22 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Kilbride 3 3 0 0 11:5 9
2 Peterhead 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Montrose 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Stirling 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
5 Clydebank FC 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
6 Queen of the South 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
7 Aberdeen B 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
8 Alloa 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Celtic B 3 2 1 0 9:6 7
10 Edinburgh City 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
11 Elgin City 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
12 Cove Rangers 3 2 0 1 10:5 6
13 St. Mirren B 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
14 Ross County 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
15 Kelty Hearts 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
16 Hearts B 3 2 0 1 10:9 6
17 Airdrieonians 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
19 Annan 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
20 Spartans 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
21 East Fife 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
22 Berwick 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
23 Kilmarnock B 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
24 Rangers B 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
25 Clachnacuddin 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
26 Formartine Utd 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
27 Stranraer 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
28 Hamilton 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
29 Dundee Utd B 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
30 Forfar Athletic 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
31 Dumbarton 3 0 1 2 4:11 1
32 Cumbernauld Colts 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
33 Banks O' Dee 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
34 Fraserburgh 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
35 Dundee FC B 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
36 Cowdenbeath 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
37 Hibernian B 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
38 Motherwell B 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
39 Clyde 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
40 Gala Fairydean Rovers 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)