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Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hislop J.
Assist: Higginbotham K.
4' Event
Hislop J.
90' Event
Flatman Z.
Assist: Cunningham R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Cumbernauld Colts
15%
Draws
32%
Kelty Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumbernauld Colts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cumbernauld Colts at 2.14 per game, Kelty Hearts at 1.43.
  • Win probability leans Cumbernauld Colts's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 15%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbernauld Colts Kelty Hearts
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts
0:3
Nov 25, 2020 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts
0:2
Nov 21, 2020 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs Cumbernauld Colts
5:0
Mar 21, 2020 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs Cumbernauld Colts
0:0
Aug 17, 2019 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbernauld Colts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Hislop J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Flatman Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbernauld Colts 84 / 100
Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbernauld Colts Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbernauld Colts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbernauld Colts found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Kelty Hearts let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cumbernauld Colts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbernauld Colts VS Kelty Hearts
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbernauld Colts

(Home)
17 Oct
Cumbernauld Colts
5 : 2
Newton Stewart
13 Oct
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
Haddington Athletic
0 : 2
Cumbernauld Colts
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Ross County 6 5 0 1 30:7 15
3 Airdrieonians 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
4 Cove Rangers 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
5 Peterhead 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
6 East Kilbride 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
7 St. Mirren B 6 4 0 2 19:8 12
8 Elgin City 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
9 Alloa 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
10 Hamilton 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
11 Montrose 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Celtic B 6 3 3 0 18:14 12
13 Queen of the South 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
14 Stirling 6 3 2 1 16:12 11
15 Aberdeen B 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
16 Bonnyrigg Rose 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
17 Edinburgh City 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
18 Berwick 6 3 1 2 11:15 10
19 Annan 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
20 Formartine Utd 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
21 Spartans 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
22 Kelty Hearts 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
23 Hearts B 6 3 0 3 17:29 9
24 Stranraer 6 2 1 3 16:15 7
25 East Fife 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
26 Forfar Athletic 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
27 Banks O' Dee 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
28 Dumbarton 6 2 1 3 10:19 7
29 Rangers B 6 2 0 4 11:11 6
30 Clyde 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
31 Kilmarnock B 6 1 2 3 11:16 5
32 Cumbernauld Colts 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
33 Clachnacuddin 6 1 1 4 11:17 4
34 Fraserburgh 6 1 1 4 7:21 4
35 Dundee FC B 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
36 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 6 0 2 4 3:17 2
38 Hibernian B 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
39 Cowdenbeath 6 0 0 6 6:15 0
40 Motherwell B 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)