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Curacao vs Aruba

World World

Friendly International 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curacao play Aruba in the Friendly International 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Curacao averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Aruba averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Curacao won 3, Aruba won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Curacao and 1.48 for Aruba. This points to a Curacao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Curacao
15%
Draws
32%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Curacao picked up more points recently compared to Aruba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.48 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Curacao Clean Sheet 16%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Aruba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Friendly International
Curacao vs Aruba
4:0
Jun 9, 2024 World Championship
Aruba vs Curacao
0:2
Nov 15, 2013 Friendly International
Curacao vs Aruba
2:0
Jul 14, 2012 Friendly International
Aruba vs Curacao
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 51 / 100
Aruba 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Aruba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Curacao & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curacao attacking → ← attacking Aruba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curacao scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Aruba let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Curacao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aruba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 34
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.20
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.20