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Curacao vs Barbados

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Janga R.
Assist: Gorre K.
46'
Sub
Severina X. In: Margaritha J.
Out: Severina X.
46'
Sub
Kuwas B. In: Felida K.
Out: Kuwas B.

AI Match Summary

Curacao in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Curacao
15%
Draws
36%
Barbados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Curacao have won more games recently than Barbados.
  • Win probability leans Curacao's way, sitting at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Curacao Clean Sheet 20%
Barbados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Barbados
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Curacao vs Barbados
4:1
Mar 24, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Curacao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Janga R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kastaneer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 36 / 100
Barbados 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Barbados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curacao's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Barbados let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Barbados has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Barbados
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

Barbados

(Away)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)