Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curacao vs Bermuda

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Chong T.
26' Event
Chong T.
Assist: Margaritha J.
35' Event
Crichlow K.
Assist: Tucker N.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Curacao and Bermuda finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Curacao
20%
Draws
16%
Bermuda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bermuda haven't matched Curacao's recent run of results.
  • Curacao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Curacao have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Curacao Clean Sheet 68%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Bermuda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship
Bermuda vs Curacao
0:7
Sep 10, 2025 World Championship
Curacao vs Bermuda
3:2
Jul 12, 1978 Central American & Caribbean Games
Bermuda vs Curacao
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Chong T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Noslin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Crichlow K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parfitt-Williams D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 95 / 100
Bermuda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Bermuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Curacao scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Bermuda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Bermuda
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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Bermuda

(Away)
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7
Curacao
15 Oct
Jamaica
4 : 0
Bermuda
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)