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Curacao vs Grenada

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
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Match Events

21'
Bacuna J.
21'
Charles A.
29'
Sub
Pierre D. D. In: Theodore K.
Out: Pierre D. D.

AI Match Summary

Curacao in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Curacao
15%
Draws
0%
Grenada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Grenada haven't matched Curacao's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Curacao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Curacao Clean Sheet 12%
Grenada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Grenada
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Grenada
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Curacao
0:0
Sep 11, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Grenada
10:0
Sep 5, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Curacao vs Grenada
2:1
Jul 7, 1989 Caribbean Cup
Grenada vs Curacao
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacuna J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Grenada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 83 / 100
Grenada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Grenada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Grenada registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Curacao found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Grenada let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Grenada
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

Grenada

(Away)
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1
Jamaica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)