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Curacao vs Panama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Panama have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Curacao have conceded 1.22 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Panama slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2023, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.00 - 2.00) back Curacao to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Curacao
20%
Draws
23%
Panama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panama lately — more wins on the board than Curacao.
  • Curacao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Panama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Panama, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Curacao Clean Sheet 10%
Panama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Panama
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Panama
1:2
Jun 15, 2021 World Championship
Curacao vs Panama
0:0
Jun 12, 2021 World Championship
Panama vs Curacao
2:1
Jul 10, 1978 Central American & Caribbean Games
Panama vs Curacao
6:1
Jan 10, 1959 Central American & Caribbean Games
Panama vs Curacao
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 83 / 100
Panama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Panama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Curacao scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Panama conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Solid form: Curacao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Panama
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 7

Panama

(Away)
05 Oct
Ecuador
1 : 2
Panama
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
25 Sept
India
1 : 1
Panama
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mexico -
Jamaica -
Panama -
Curacao -
USA -
Haiti -
Canada -
Guatemala -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -