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Curico Unido vs Cobreloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Muga C.
32'
San Juan B.
32'
Benegas L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Curico Unido
15%
Draws
59%
Cobreloa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cobreloa have won more games recently than Curico Unido.
  • Win probability leans Cobreloa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 16%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido Cobreloa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Cobreloa
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Curico Unido
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Cobreloa
0:2
Jun 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Curico Unido
3:2
Feb 11, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Cobreloa
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 11 / 100
Cobreloa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido Cobreloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cobreloa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cobreloa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Curico Unido scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Curico Unido went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS Cobreloa
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

Cobreloa

(Away)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)