Sport Picks
Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó 
Match Events
45'
45'
Castro R.
45'
45'
Vazquez L.
45'
45'
Benegas L.
AI Match Summary
Curico Unido in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curico Unido.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Curico Unido
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to D. Puerto Montt lately — more wins on the board than Curico Unido.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Curico Unido taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 20%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Curico Unido | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Jan 21, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Nov 5, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido
0:2
Apr 23, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido
2:1
Nov 22, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Curico Unido Compare
Top Goalscorer Benegas L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Riveros R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Curico Unido 36 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Curico Unido D. Puerto Montt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Curico Unido remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Curico Unido found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
D. Puerto Montt let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Curico Unido VS D. Puerto Montt
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Curico Unido
(Home) 05 Jul
Nublense
2 : 2 Curico Unido
28 Jun
Curico Unido
2 : 2 U. De Concepcion
21 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0 Nublense
08 Jun
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1 Curico Unido
01 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Curico Unido
2 : 2 U. De Concepcion
21 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0 Nublense
01 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0 Antofagasta
16 May
Curico Unido
0 : 3 S. Wanderers
12 May
Curico Unido
2 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 3
D. Puerto Montt
(Away) 12 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
05 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 1 Huachipato
29 Jun
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 D. Concepcion
21 Jun
Huachipato
0 : 2 D. Puerto Montt
06 Jun
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 1 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
21 Jun
Huachipato
0 : 2 D. Puerto Montt
30 May
San Felipe
1 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
17 May
San Luis
4 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
03 May
Rangers
0 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 29 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 23 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | 18 |
| 13 | San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)