Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curico Unido host Deportes Iquique in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Deportes Iquique have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Curico Unido have conceded 1.43 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Curico Unido slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Curico Unido. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Curico Unido
15%
Draws
59%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Curico Unido come out ahead of Deportes Iquique on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Deportes Iquique's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 14%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1:1
Nov 14, 2020 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1:2
Feb 8, 2020 Liga de Primera
Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
1:0
Aug 31, 2019 Liga de Primera
Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
1:2
Feb 16, 2019 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 11 / 100
Deportes Iquique 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido Deportes Iquique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curico Unido's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportes Iquique's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Curico Unido remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS Deportes Iquique
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2
Curico Unido
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Iquique

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)