Sport Picks

Chile

Primera B 2014/2015

Lota Schwager

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Curico Unido play Lota Schwager in the Primera B 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Curico Unido averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Lota Schwager averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Curico Unido won 2, Lota Schwager won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 14, 2015 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Curico Unido and 0.94 for Lota Schwager. This points to a Curico Unido double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Curico Unido

28%

Draws

33%

Lota Schwager

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Curico Unido picked up more points recently compared to Lota Schwager.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Curico Unido Clean Sheet 24%

Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Curico Unido	Lota Schwager
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	9	8
Draws	11	8
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.16	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Liga de Ascenso

Curico Unido vs Lota Schwager

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Jan 25, 2015 Liga de Ascenso

Lota Schwager vs Curico Unido

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:4

Oct 19, 2014 Liga de Ascenso

Lota Schwager vs Curico Unido

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Aug 24, 2014 Liga de Ascenso

Curico Unido vs Lota Schwager

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Apr 26, 2014 Liga de Ascenso

Curico Unido vs Lota Schwager

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 40 / 100

Lota Schwager 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Curico Unido Lota Schwager

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Curico Unido or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curico Unido attacking → ← attacking Lota Schwager

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curico Unido scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Lota Schwager let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Curico Unido went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lota Schwager lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 32

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Luis	38	24	9	5	61:32	81
2	San Felipe	38	22	6	10	80:45	72
3	Everton	38	18	8	12	50:46	62
4	D. Concepcion	38	17	7	14	50:56	58
5	Copiapo	38	14	14	10	45:46	56
6	Deportes Temuco	38	15	9	14	49:52	54
7	Iberia	38	15	8	15	47:46	53
8	S. Morning	38	14	7	17	46:44	49
9	Curico Unido	38	12	11	15	49:48	46
10	Rangers	38	10	13	15	38:48	43
11	La Serena	38	11	10	17	41:52	43
12	Magallanes	38	10	11	17	36:48	41
13	Coquimbo	38	9	13	16	52:60	40
14	Lota Schwager	38	7	10	21	38:59	31