Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curico Unido vs San Luis

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sarria G.
18' Event
Gonzalez D.
46'
Sub
Retamales J. In: Alfaro J.
Out: Retamales J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Curico Unido and San Luis finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Curico Unido
30%
Draws
34%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • San Luis's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Curico Unido have produced (1).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Curico Unido taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 15%
San Luis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido San Luis
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Luis
1:2
Mar 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Curico Unido
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Luis
1:3
May 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Curico Unido
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Curico Unido
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustamante C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parada S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 35 / 100
San Luis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Curico Unido stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Curico Unido scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

San Luis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS San Luis
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
05 Jul
Nublense
2 : 2
Curico Unido
28 Jun
Curico Unido
2 : 2
U. De Concepcion
21 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0
Nublense
08 Jun
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Curico Unido
01 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

San Luis

(Away)
11 Jul
San Luis
4 : 0
U. Catolica
04 Jul
San Luis
2 : 2
Everton
28 Jun
U. Catolica
4 : 2
San Luis
20 Jun
Everton
2 : 2
San Luis
06 Jun
San Luis
1 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1665526:1923
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13Deportes Iquique1637620:2316
14San Felipe1544713:2716
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)