Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curico Unido vs San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sarria G.
18' Event
Gonzalez D.
46'
Sub
Retamales J. In: Alfaro J.
Out: Retamales J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Curico Unido and San Luis finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Curico Unido
15%
Draws
71%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • San Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on San Luis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 11%
San Luis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido San Luis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Luis
1:2
Mar 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Curico Unido
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Luis
1:3
May 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Curico Unido
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Curico Unido
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustamante C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parada S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 10 / 100
San Luis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curico Unido's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

San Luis has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Curico Unido went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS San Luis
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

San Luis

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)