Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017

Buxtehuder

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Curslack-Neuengamme play Buxtehuder in the Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017. Curslack-Neuengamme are favorites here. Recently, Curslack-Neuengamme averaged 1.34 goals scored and 4.59 conceded. Buxtehuder averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, Curslack-Neuengamme won 3, Buxtehuder won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 12, 2017 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Curslack-Neuengamme and 1.00 for Buxtehuder. This points to a Curslack-Neuengamme double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Curslack-Neuengamme

25%

Draws

15%

Buxtehuder

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Curslack-Neuengamme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Curslack-Neuengamme picked up more points recently compared to Buxtehuder.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Curslack-Neuengamme Clean Sheet 23%

Buxtehuder Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Curslack-Neuengamme	Buxtehuder
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	3	3
Draws	2	7
Losses	27	20
Goals Scored	1.34	1.17
Goals Conceded	4.59	2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Oberliga Hamburg

Curslack-Neuengamme vs Buxtehuder

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Sep 11, 2016 Oberliga Hamburg

Buxtehuder vs Curslack-Neuengamme

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

May 13, 2016 Oberliga Hamburg

Buxtehuder vs Curslack-Neuengamme

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Nov 21, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg

Curslack-Neuengamme vs Buxtehuder

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

May 1, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg

Buxtehuder vs Curslack-Neuengamme

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curslack-Neuengamme 59 / 100

Buxtehuder 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Curslack-Neuengamme Buxtehuder

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curslack-Neuengamme Win (1)

Secondary Pick Curslack-Neuengamme & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curslack-Neuengamme attacking → ← attacking Buxtehuder

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curslack-Neuengamme scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Buxtehuder let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Curslack-Neuengamme went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Buxtehuder lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 16

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

5.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dassendorf	34	23	6	5	79:32	75
2	TSV Buchholz 08	34	19	9	6	77:44	66
3	Altona	34	18	10	6	72:41	64
4	SC Victoria Hamburg	34	18	7	9	82:63	61
5	Concordia Hamburg	34	18	5	11	89:52	59
6	TuS Osdorf	34	16	10	8	66:53	58
7	Wedeler	34	17	5	12	77:67	56
8	Rugenbergen	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
9	Pinneberg	34	14	4	16	62:57	46
10	Condor Hamburg	34	14	4	16	62:72	46
11	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	34	12	9	13	51:61	45
12	Curslack-Neuengamme	34	13	6	15	44:55	45
13	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	34	12	8	14	56:55	44
14	Niendorfer TSV	34	11	7	16	57:62	40
15	Suderelbe	34	10	6	18	65:78	36
16	Halstenbek-Rellingen	34	8	5	21	37:72	29
17	Kosova	34	6	4	24	32:106	22
18	Buxtehuder	34	3	8	23	40:91	17