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Curslack-Neuengamme vs Tesla Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curslack-Neuengamme play Tesla Hamburg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026. Tesla Hamburg are favorites here. Recently, Curslack-Neuengamme averaged 1.3 goals scored and 4.83 conceded. Tesla Hamburg averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Curslack-Neuengamme won 0, Tesla Hamburg won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 4:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Curslack-Neuengamme and 1.00 for Tesla Hamburg. This points to a Tesla Hamburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Curslack-Neuengamme
25%
Draws
60%
Tesla Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tesla Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Curslack-Neuengamme picked up more points recently compared to Tesla Hamburg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Curslack-Neuengamme Clean Sheet 23%
Tesla Hamburg Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curslack-Neuengamme Tesla Hamburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 27 16
Goals Scored 1.3 2.03
Goals Conceded 4.83 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Curslack-Neuengamme vs Tesla Hamburg
4:8
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Tesla Hamburg vs Curslack-Neuengamme
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curslack-Neuengamme 18 / 100
Tesla Hamburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curslack-Neuengamme Tesla Hamburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tesla Hamburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Tesla Hamburg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7%
1.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curslack-Neuengamme attacking → ← attacking Tesla Hamburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curslack-Neuengamme scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tesla Hamburg let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Curslack-Neuengamme went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Tesla Hamburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 34
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50