Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curtin University vs Mandurah City

Australia Australia

WA State League 2025 Curtin Stadium, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Callaghan J.
51' Event
Clark G.
82' Event
Fields O.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League 2025 game between Curtin University and Mandurah City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Curtin University
6%
Draws
90%
Mandurah City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mandurah City come out ahead of Curtin University on wins alone.
  • Mandurah City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular WA State League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Curtin University Clean Sheet 10%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curtin University Mandurah City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 WA State League
Curtin University vs Mandurah City
3:4
May 6, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Curtin University
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Curtin University vs Mandurah City
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 WA State League
Curtin University vs Mandurah City
1:3
Jun 7, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Curtin University
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curtin University Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailie J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Callaghan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clark G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curtin University 10 / 100
Mandurah City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curtin University Mandurah City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Curtin University's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Curtin University stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curtin University VS Mandurah City
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Curtin University

(Home)
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Curtin University
0 : 4
Floreat Athena
04 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Cockburn City
27 Jun
Gwelup Croatia SC
0 : 0
Curtin University
20 Jun
Curtin University
0 : 1
Kingsley Westside
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Mandurah City

(Away)
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Kingsley Westside
20 Jun
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Cockburn City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dianella White Eagle22146246:2248
2UWA Nedlands22152552:2847
3Joondalup City22116541:2639
4Kingsley Westside22107536:2437
5Murdoch University Melville2295850:4632
6Gwelup Croatia SC221021043:3932
7Mandurah City2285934:3329
8Subiaco2285933:3729
9Inglewood Utd22741129:4325
10Curtin University22631331:4621
11Kalamunda City22541323:4019
12Gosnells City22331620:5412
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2025 (Relegation)