Sport Picks
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne 
Match Events
64'
64'
Robertson H.
AI Match Summary
Curzon Ashton in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curzon Ashton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alfreton lately — more wins on the board than Curzon Ashton.
- Curzon Ashton are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 20%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Curzon Ashton | Alfreton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Alfreton vs Curzon Ashton
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton
0:0
Jan 1, 2025 National League North
Alfreton vs Curzon Ashton
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Curzon Ashton Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Alfreton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Curzon Ashton 58 / 100
Alfreton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Curzon Ashton Alfreton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Curzon Ashton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Alfreton has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Curzon Ashton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Curzon Ashton VS Alfreton
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Curzon Ashton
(Home) 06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1 Stalybridge
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
22 Aug
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Guiseley
Page 1 of 4
Alfreton
(Away) 06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1 Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Alfreton
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Alfreton
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4 Alfreton
22 Aug
Stockton
2 : 0 Alfreton
18 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 1 Alfreton
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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