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Curzon Ashton vs Guiseley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Amado J.
27' Event
Owen E.
32' Event
Mbeka L.

AI Match Summary

Guiseley in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guiseley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Curzon Ashton
15%
Draws
42%
Guiseley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guiseley lately — more wins on the board than Curzon Ashton.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 14%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton Guiseley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Curzon Ashton vs Guiseley
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Guiseley vs Curzon Ashton
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 National League North
Guiseley vs Curzon Ashton
2:2
Aug 21, 2021 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Guiseley
1:1
May 3, 2021 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Guiseley
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Amado J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guiseley Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbeka L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton 30 / 100
Guiseley 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton Guiseley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Curzon Ashton scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Guiseley conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Curzon Ashton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curzon Ashton VS Guiseley
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Curzon Ashton

(Home)
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Guiseley

(Away)
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0
Bradford PA
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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