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Curzon Ashton vs United of Manchester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curzon Ashton host United of Manchester in the NPL Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Curzon Ashton have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against United of Manchester's 1.83 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor United of Manchester slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2022, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward United of Manchester. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Curzon Ashton
15%
Draws
31%
United of Manchester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • United of Manchester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Curzon Ashton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 15%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton United of Manchester
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 FA Cup
United of Manchester vs Curzon Ashton
2:3
Oct 3, 2020 FA Cup
Curzon Ashton vs United of Manchester
1:2
Mar 23, 2019 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs United of Manchester
3:1
Dec 8, 2018 National League North
United of Manchester vs Curzon Ashton
2:0
Jan 27, 2018 National League North
United of Manchester vs Curzon Ashton
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton 57 / 100
United of Manchester 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton United of Manchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United of Manchester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Curzon Ashton scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Curzon Ashton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curzon Ashton VS United of Manchester
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Curzon Ashton

(Home)
10 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Hyde
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Bradford PA
Page 1 of 6

United of Manchester

(Away)
10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2
United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3
United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0
United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1
Ossett United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28:11 28
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 33:20 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23:22 21
7 Warrington Rylands 13 6 2 5 20:20 20
8 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
9 Gainsborough 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 22:18 19
11 Alfreton 13 6 0 7 20:16 18
12 Lancaster 13 5 2 6 18:26 17
13 Hyde 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 21:27 13
16 Whitby 12 4 1 7 17:32 13
17 Stockton 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 11:24 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 16:31 10
21 Ilkeston 13 2 1 10 7:31 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
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