Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Atletico Grau

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Zevallos J.
33'
Silva N.
38'
Sub
Herrera J. In: Colitto L.
Out: Herrera J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cusco and Atletico Grau finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cusco
15%
Draws
34%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Grau haven't matched Cusco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cusco a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cusco Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Atletico Grau
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cusco
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Atletico Grau vs Cusco
1:0
Oct 28, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Atletico Grau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzaneda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atletico Grau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 40 / 100
Atletico Grau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Atletico Grau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Atletico Grau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Cusco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Atletico Grau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Atletico Grau
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Grau

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)