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Stadium Background

Cusco vs Juan Pablo II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Callejo F.
Assist: Silva N.
11'
Sub
Fuentes A. In: Gamarra C.
Out: Fuentes A.
28'
Villanueva C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cusco and Juan Pablo II finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cusco
20%
Draws
52%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cusco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juan Pablo II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cusco Clean Sheet 11%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Juan Pablo II
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Cusco
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Cusco
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Juan Pablo II
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Callejo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Juan Pablo II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 18 / 100
Juan Pablo II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Juan Pablo II let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Cusco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Juan Pablo II
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
16 Oct
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Cusco
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
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Juan Pablo II

(Away)
17 Oct
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0
Sport Boys
10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1
Juan Pablo II
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 12 8 1 3 25:12 25
2 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
3 Universitario de Deportes 12 7 3 2 25:19 24
4 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
5 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
7 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Alianza Atl. 12 7 1 4 24:22 22
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Cienciano 12 4 2 6 15:18 14
13 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
14 FC Cajamarca 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 12 2 4 6 20:23 10
16 Moquegua 12 2 4 6 8:19 10
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 12 0 2 10 11:26 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)