Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Los Chankas

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cusco play Los Chankas in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cusco averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Los Chankas averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Cusco won 1, Los Chankas won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Cusco and 1.31 for Los Chankas. This points to a Los Chankas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cusco
25%
Draws
47%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Los Chankas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Cusco picked up more points recently compared to Los Chankas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Cusco Clean Sheet 18%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Los Chankas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cusco
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
3:3
Oct 17, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
2:1
May 4, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cusco
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Tevez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 29 / 100
Los Chankas 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Los Chankas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Los Chankas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cusco attacking → ← attacking Los Chankas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Los Chankas let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cusco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Los Chankas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 55
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016