Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Los Chankas

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Callejo F. In: Tevez J.
Out: Callejo F.
46' Event
Tevez J.
61'
Takeuchi O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cusco and Los Chankas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cusco
15%
Draws
0%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Los Chankas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cusco a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cusco Clean Sheet 17%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Los Chankas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cusco
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
3:3
Oct 17, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
2:1
May 4, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cusco
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Tevez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 84 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Los Chankas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cusco found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Los Chankas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Los Chankas
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
14 Aug
Cusco
2 : 0
Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 6

Los Chankas

(Away)
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)