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Cwmaman Institute vs Ammanford Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ammanford Town have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Cwmaman Institute have conceded 2.24 and scored 1.14. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.10 - 1.68) back Ammanford Town to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cwmaman Institute
15%
Draws
46%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ammanford Town come out ahead of Cwmaman Institute on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Ammanford Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cwmaman Institute Clean Sheet 13%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmaman Institute Ammanford Town
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmaman Institute 31 / 100
Ammanford Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmaman Institute Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmaman Institute found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ammanford Town has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Cwmaman Institute stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Ammanford Town's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cwmaman Institute VS Ammanford Town
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cwmaman Institute

(Home)
16 Sept
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Cwmaman Institute
19 Oct
Cwmaman Institute
2 : 6
STM Sports
28 Apr
Cwmaman Institute
2 : 0
Cwmbran Celtic
24 Apr
AFC Porth
2 : 0
Cwmaman Institute
20 Apr
Taffs Well
0 : 1
Cwmaman Institute
Page 1 of 6

Ammanford Town

(Away)
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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