Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cwmaman Institute vs Cwmbran Celtic

Wales Wales

Division 1 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cwmaman Institute play Cwmbran Celtic in the Division 1 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cwmaman Institute averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Cwmbran Celtic averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Cwmaman Institute won 2, Cwmbran Celtic won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2012 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Cwmaman Institute and 0.93 for Cwmbran Celtic. This points to a Cwmaman Institute double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cwmaman Institute
19%
Draws
31%
Cwmbran Celtic
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Cwmaman Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Cwmaman Institute picked up more points recently compared to Cwmbran Celtic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Cwmaman Institute Clean Sheet 24%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmaman Institute Cwmbran Celtic
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 14
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Division 1
Cwmaman Institute vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:0
Aug 13, 2011 Division 1
Cwmbran Celtic vs Cwmaman Institute
1:3
Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup
Cwmaman Institute vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmaman Institute 50 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmaman Institute Cwmbran Celtic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cwmaman Institute or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cwmaman Institute attacking → ← attacking Cwmbran Celtic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmaman Institute scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cwmbran Celtic let in goals in 91% of their last 47 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Cwmaman Institute went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cwmbran Celtic lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25