Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bonthron A.
17' Event
Bonthron A.
21' Event
Bonthron A.

AI Match Summary

Cwmbran Celtic in this Cymru South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cwmbran Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cwmbran Celtic
6%
Draws
4%
Abergavenny Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cwmbran Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Abergavenny Town lately — more wins on the board than Cwmbran Celtic.
  • Win probability leans Cwmbran Celtic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cwmbran Celtic have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 14%
Abergavenny Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Abergavenny Town
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 2 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 23 24
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town
6:0
Sep 8, 2023 Cymru South
Abergavenny Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:1
Jan 2, 2023 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Abergavenny Town
2:1
Dec 27, 2022 Cymru South
Abergavenny Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cwmbran Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonthron A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader McCauley L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Abergavenny Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Celtic 84 / 100
Abergavenny Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmbran Celtic Abergavenny Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CWM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abergavenny Town has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Abergavenny Town registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cwmbran Celtic's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cwmbran Celtic VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Briton Ferry30232587:3971
2Llanelli30204680:4064
3Ammanford Town30176760:4257
4Cambrian United30148860:3750
5Caerau Ely301541172:6049
6Carmarthen Town301211750:3947
7Afan Lido301441268:5646
8Goytre Utd301271158:5943
9Cwmbran Celtic301261269:6442
10Baglan Dragons301181146:4141
11Trefelin301081247:6338
12Llantwit Major30981344:5435
13Taffs Well30881444:4932
14Pontardawe30881452:7032
15Abertillery Bluebirds30362134:9415
16Abergavenny Town30222620:848