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Cwmbran Celtic vs Aberystwyth Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Powell S.
49' Event
McDowell A.
80' Event
Powell I.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Cwmbran Celtic and Aberystwyth finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cwmbran Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cwmbran Celtic
15%
Draws
69%
Aberystwyth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aberystwyth's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Aberystwyth
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Aberystwyth
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cwmbran Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Powell S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McDowell A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aberystwyth Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
Aberystwyth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmbran Celtic Aberystwyth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cwmbran Celtic scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Aberystwyth conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cwmbran Celtic remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cwmbran Celtic VS Aberystwyth
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cwmbran Celtic

(Home)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1
Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8
Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Aberystwyth

(Away)
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)