Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2018/2019 Cwmbran Stadium

Afan Lido

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cwmbran Town play Afan Lido in the FA Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cwmbran Town averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Afan Lido averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Cwmbran Town won 5, Afan Lido won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2018 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Cwmbran Town and 1.69 for Afan Lido. This points to a Afan Lido double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Cwmbran Town

15%

Draws

44%

Afan Lido

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Cwmbran Town picked up more points recently compared to Afan Lido.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 13%

Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cwmbran Town	Afan Lido
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	5	9
Draws	2	3
Losses	23	19
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.7	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2018 FA Cup

Cwmbran Town vs Afan Lido

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Mar 28, 2005 Cymru Premier

Cwmbran Town vs Afan Lido

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Nov 19, 2004 Cymru Premier

Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Town

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Apr 27, 2004 Cymru Premier

Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Town

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

Feb 4, 2004 Cymru Premier

Cwmbran Town vs Afan Lido

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Town 40 / 100

Afan Lido 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cwmbran Town Afan Lido

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Afan Lido or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cwmbran Town attacking → ← attacking Afan Lido

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Town scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Afan Lido let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cwmbran Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Afan Lido lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 30

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38