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Cwmbran Town vs Carmarthen Town

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Carroll D.
62' Event
Woodford J.
75' Event
Carroll D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2018 game between Cwmbran Town and Carmarthen Town finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cwmbran Town
22%
Draws
60%
Carmarthen Town
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Carmarthen Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Carmarthen Town a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Carmarthen Town here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 23%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmbran Town Carmarthen Town
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 19
Draws 2 13
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2018 Club Friendly
Cwmbran Town vs Carmarthen Town
0:4
Mar 9, 2007 Cymru Premier
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Town
1:0
Oct 21, 2006 Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Town vs Carmarthen Town
4:5
Oct 2, 2006 League Cup
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Town
4:0
Aug 29, 2006 League Cup
Cwmbran Town vs Carmarthen Town
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cwmbran Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Carroll D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Woodford J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Town 21 / 100
Carmarthen Town 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmbran Town Carmarthen Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Cwmbran Town scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Carmarthen Town conceded in 64% of 42 recent games.

Carmarthen Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carmarthen Town
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%