Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cynthialbalonga vs Gelbison Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Pasqualoni D.
Own Goal
32' Event
Simonetti L.
45' Event
Simonetti L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Cynthialbalonga and Gelbison finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cynthialbalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cynthialbalonga
30%
Draws
41%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gelbison come out ahead of Cynthialbalonga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cynthialbalonga a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cynthialbalonga here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 17%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cynthialbalonga Gelbison
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Gelbison
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs Cynthialbalonga
1:2
Mar 26, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Cynthialbalonga
0:1
Nov 13, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Cynthialbalonga vs Gelbison
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonetti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manca L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gelbison Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cynthialbalonga 48 / 100
Gelbison 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cynthialbalonga Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cynthialbalonga scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gelbison conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cynthialbalonga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gelbison
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cynthialbalonga

(Home)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 6

Gelbison

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)