Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cynthialbalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Floris M.

AI Match Summary

Sarrabus Ogliastra in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cynthialbalonga
35%
Draws
32%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Cynthialbalonga have won more games recently than Sarrabus Ogliastra.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Cynthialbalonga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 68%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cynthialbalonga Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Cynthialbalonga
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Cynthialbalonga
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Cynthialbalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Floris M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cynthialbalonga 59 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cynthialbalonga Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cynthialbalonga found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sarrabus Ogliastra has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Cynthialbalonga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cynthialbalonga

(Home)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
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Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)