Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Kastanos G.
22'
22'
Ioannou N.
41'
41'
Kakoullis A.
AI Match Summary
Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cyprus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cyprus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cyprus have won more games recently than Lithuania.
- Win probability leans Cyprus's way, sitting at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cyprus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cyprus | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1
Sep 6, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Cyprus
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:0
Feb 26, 2001 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
1:2
Feb 2, 2000 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Lithuania
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cyprus Compare
Top Goalscorer Kastanos G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tzionis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Lithuania Compare
Top Goalscorer Gineitis G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cyprus 50 / 100
Lithuania 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cyprus Lithuania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cyprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cyprus scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Lithuania let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Cyprus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cyprus VS Lithuania
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cyprus
(Home) 07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2 Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1 Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2 Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1 Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
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30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2 Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1 Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
15 Nov
Cyprus
0 : 2 Austria
09 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 2 Bosnia & Herzegovina
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Lithuania
(Away) 09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
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09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
09 Oct
Finland
2 : 1 Lithuania
10 Jun
Denmark
5 : 0 Lithuania
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
