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Stadium Background

Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Remenyuk A.
35' Event
Assuncao D.
47' Event
Kramarz A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Czarni Polaniec and Avia Swidnik finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Czarni Polaniec
11%
Draws
80%
Avia Swidnik
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avia Swidnik come out ahead of Czarni Polaniec on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec Avia Swidnik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 19
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Czarni Polaniec
5:3
May 3, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Czarni Polaniec
3:3
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik
4:3
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Avia Swidnik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramarz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skrzyniak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Remenyuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assuncao D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 10 / 100
Avia Swidnik 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec Avia Swidnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Polaniec found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Avia Swidnik let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Czarni Polaniec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS Avia Swidnik
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013