Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Czarni Polaniec

1 - 0

Cracovia II

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Gaj B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Czarni Polaniec in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Czarni Polaniec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Czarni Polaniec

28%

Draws

22%

Cracovia II

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Czarni Polaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Czarni Polaniec have won more games recently than Cracovia II.
Model gives Czarni Polaniec a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 14%

Cracovia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Czarni Polaniec	Cracovia II
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	16	7
Draws	6	6
Losses	7	18
Goals Scored	1.75	2
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Czarni Polaniec vs Cracovia II

1:0

Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Cracovia II vs Czarni Polaniec

1:0

May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Cracovia II vs Czarni Polaniec

1:0

Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Czarni Polaniec vs Cracovia II

1:0

Mar 12, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Czarni Polaniec vs Cracovia II

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaj B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Cracovia II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 48 / 100

Cracovia II 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Czarni Polaniec Cracovia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Czarni Polaniec scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Cracovia II let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Cracovia II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS Cracovia II

1.75 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Czarni Polaniec

(Home)

15 Jul

Czarni Polaniec

1 : 4

Jaroslaw

11 Jul

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

1 : 1

Czarni Polaniec

04 Jul

Czarni Polaniec

2 : 0

Star Starachowice

30 May

Czarni Polaniec

2 : 3

Avia Swidnik

22 May

Korona Kielce II

2 : 1

Czarni Polaniec

Page 1 of 6

Cracovia II

(Away)

18 Jul

Cracovia II

1 : 3

Z. Moravce-Vrable

30 May

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

5 : 6

Cracovia II

23 May

Cracovia II

1 : 2

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

17 May

Cracovia II

3 : 3

Chelmianka Chelm

13 May

Wisla II

3 : 1

Cracovia II

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13

Promotion - Division 2 (Main)

Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)