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Czarni Polaniec vs KS Karpaty Krosno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Zalucki M.
65'
Zalucki M.
80' Event
Oberman Y.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 game between Czarni Polaniec and KS Karpaty Krosno finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KS Karpaty Krosno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Czarni Polaniec
6%
Draws
90%
KS Karpaty Krosno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KS Karpaty Krosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KS Karpaty Krosno a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 20%
KS Karpaty Krosno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Polaniec KS Karpaty Krosno
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs KS Karpaty Krosno
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Czarni Polaniec
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KS Karpaty Krosno Compare

Top Goalscorer Oberman Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Polaniec 10 / 100
KS Karpaty Krosno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Polaniec KS Karpaty Krosno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Polaniec scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

KS Karpaty Krosno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Czarni Polaniec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Polaniec VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523