Sport Picks

Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026

GKS Katowice W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Czarni Sosnowiec W play GKS Katowice W in the Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Czarni Sosnowiec W averaged 3.91 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. GKS Katowice W averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Czarni Sosnowiec W won 2, GKS Katowice W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Czarni Sosnowiec W and 2.06 for GKS Katowice W. This points to a Czarni Sosnowiec W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Czarni Sosnowiec W

15%

Draws

42%

GKS Katowice W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Czarni Sosnowiec W picked up more points recently compared to GKS Katowice W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 10%

GKS Katowice W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Czarni Sosnowiec W	GKS Katowice W
Matches Played	32	37
Wins	25	27
Draws	2	3
Losses	5	7
Goals Scored	3.91	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.06	1.08
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Polish Cup Women

Czarni Sosnowiec W vs GKS Katowice W

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

2:5

Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraliga Women

Czarni Sosnowiec W vs GKS Katowice W

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Sep 22, 2025 Ekstraliga Women

GKS Katowice W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Mar 16, 2025 Ekstraliga Women

Czarni Sosnowiec W vs GKS Katowice W

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

0:5

Oct 16, 2024 Polish Cup Women

Czarni Sosnowiec W vs GKS Katowice W

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

GKS Katowice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hmirova P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wlodarczyk J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Sosnowiec W 41 / 100

GKS Katowice W 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Czarni Sosnowiec W GKS Katowice W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Czarni Sosnowiec W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Czarni Sosnowiec W attacking → ← attacking GKS Katowice W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Sosnowiec W scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

GKS Katowice W let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Czarni Sosnowiec W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

GKS Katowice W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 84

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Czarni Sosnowiec W	22	18	2	2	68:18	56
2	Pogon Szczecin W	22	16	3	3	60:18	51
3	GKS Katowice W	22	15	3	4	51:26	48
4	Leczna W	22	15	2	5	49:20	47
5	UKS SMS Lodz W	22	8	5	9	35:35	29
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	22	8	4	10	29:34	28
7	Slask Wroclaw W	22	8	2	12	39:33	26
8	Lech-UAM Poznan W	22	7	5	10	29:46	26
9	UJ Krakow W	22	6	6	10	26:37	24
10	AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W	22	7	2	13	24:45	23
11	Stomilanki Olsztyn W	22	3	2	17	23:70	11
12	Pogon Tczew W	22	1	4	17	15:66	7