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Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Tczew W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kaletka N.
21' Event
Miksone K.
26' Event
Buszewska Z.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Czarni Sosnowiec W and Pogon Tczew W finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Sosnowiec W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Tczew W haven't matched Czarni Sosnowiec W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Czarni Sosnowiec W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 68%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Sosnowiec W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:8
Sep 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Tczew W
7:0
Mar 1, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:5
Aug 11, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Tczew W
5:0
Apr 27, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaletka N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miksone K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Sosnowiec W 95 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Sosnowiec W Pogon Tczew W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Czarni Sosnowiec W scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Pogon Tczew W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Czarni Sosnowiec W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Sosnowiec W VS Pogon Tczew W
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667