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Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Potrykus A.
47' Event
Buszewska Z.
67' Event
Milek K.

AI Match Summary

Czarni Sosnowiec W host UKS SMS Lodz W in the Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. UKS SMS Lodz W have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Czarni Sosnowiec W have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, Czarni Sosnowiec W have won 5 to UKS SMS Lodz W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.00 - 1.38) back Czarni Sosnowiec W to edge this. Czarni Sosnowiec W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
20%
Draws
38%
UKS SMS Lodz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UKS SMS Lodz W.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Czarni Sosnowiec W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 17%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czarni Sosnowiec W UKS SMS Lodz W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Polish Cup Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2:3
Apr 16, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Top Goalscorer Buszewska Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Potrykus A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urbanczyk L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czarni Sosnowiec W 41 / 100
UKS SMS Lodz W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czarni Sosnowiec W UKS SMS Lodz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czarni Sosnowiec W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

UKS SMS Lodz W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Czarni Sosnowiec W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UKS SMS Lodz W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Czarni Sosnowiec W VS UKS SMS Lodz W
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667