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Stadium Background

Czech Republic vs Croatia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Championship 2026 Fortuna Arena, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Pasalic M. In: Ivanovic F.
Out: Pasalic M.
62'
Sub
Budimir A. In: Pasalic M.
Out: Budimir A.
62'
Sub
Kusej V. In: Vydra M.
Out: Kusej V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Czech Republic
15%
Draws
76%
Croatia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Czech Republic.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 15%
Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Czech Republic Croatia
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs Croatia
1:2
Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Czech Republic vs Croatia
0:0
Jun 9, 2025 World Championship
Croatia vs Czech Republic
5:1
Jun 18, 2021 Euro
Croatia vs Czech Republic
1:1
Jun 17, 2016 Euro
Czech Republic vs Croatia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Czech Republic 31 / 100
Croatia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Czech Republic Croatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Czech Republic found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Croatia conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Czech Republic has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Czech Republic VS Croatia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Czech Republic

(Home)
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3
Mexico
18 Jun
Czech Republic
1 : 1
South Africa
12 Jun
South Korea
2 : 1
Czech Republic
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Croatia

(Away)
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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