Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Concepcion vs Coquimbo

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Camargo A.
26'
Zavala C.
46'
Sub
Acosta D. In: Escobar C.
Out: Acosta D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between D. Concepcion and Coquimbo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
D. Concepcion
20%
Draws
20%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D. Concepcion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Coquimbo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives D. Concepcion a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Concepcion Coquimbo
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
D. Concepcion vs Coquimbo
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Coquimbo vs D. Concepcion
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs D. Concepcion
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
D. Concepcion vs Coquimbo
1:2
Feb 20, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
Coquimbo vs D. Concepcion
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Camargo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Concepcion 95 / 100
Coquimbo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Concepcion Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Concepcion went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

D. Concepcion's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coquimbo conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

D. Concepcion VS Coquimbo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Concepcion

(Home)
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
02 Aug
D. Concepcion
3 : 0
U. Catolica
27 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
O Higgins
12 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
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Coquimbo

(Away)
19 Aug
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Platense
12 Aug
Platense
1 : 1
Coquimbo
08 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 1
La Serena
06 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
01 Aug
Palestino
2 : 1
Coquimbo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 19 15 1 3 40:19 46
2 U. De Chile 19 10 6 3 26:13 36
3 Nublense 19 8 8 3 26:23 32
4 U. Catolica 19 9 3 7 41:28 30
5 Palestino 19 9 3 7 31:27 30
6 Limache 19 8 3 8 38:31 27
7 Everton 19 7 6 6 28:22 27
8 D. Concepcion 19 8 2 9 22:23 26
9 Coquimbo 17 7 4 6 24:21 25
10 O Higgins 19 7 3 9 24:30 24
11 Huachipato 20 7 3 10 29:39 24
12 La Serena 19 5 8 6 28:31 23
13 A. Italiano 20 5 7 8 23:26 22
14 U. De Concepcion 18 5 4 9 13:30 19
15 Cobresal 19 5 2 12 26:36 17
16 Union La Calera 20 3 5 12 17:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)