Sport Picks
D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt 
Match Events
23'
23'
Monreal J.
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Rojas D.
35'
35'
Aros V.
AI Match Summary
D. Puerto Montt in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored D. Puerto Montt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antofagasta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Antofagasta have won more games recently than D. Puerto Montt.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Antofagasta taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta
3:2
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs D. Puerto Montt
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs D. Puerto Montt
1:1
May 21, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Antofagasta
1:4
Oct 19, 2011 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs D. Puerto Montt
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Top Goalscorer Paredes R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Negrete S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Antofagasta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
D. Puerto Montt 10 / 100
Antofagasta 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
D. Puerto Montt Antofagasta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
D. Puerto Montt found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Antofagasta has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
D. Puerto Montt has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
D. Puerto Montt VS Antofagasta
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
D. Puerto Montt
(Home) 03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2 Rangers
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Curico Unido
22 Aug
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 4 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
Antofagasta
(Away) 07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1 Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
17 Aug
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3 Antofagasta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
