Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt

D. Puerto Montt

2 - 0

D. Concepcion

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Cardenas J.

46'

Sub

Caceres F. In: Mesias Gonzalez I. S.

Out: Caceres F.

46'

Negrete S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

D. Puerto Montt in this Copa Chile tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

D. Puerto Montt

20%

Draws

38%

D. Concepcion

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

D. Concepcion haven't matched D. Puerto Montt's recent run of results.
D. Puerto Montt are the model's pick here, at 42%.
D. Puerto Montt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor D. Puerto Montt, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 17%

D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	D. Puerto Montt	D. Concepcion
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	16	8
Draws	3	5
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt

2:0

Jun 29, 2026 Copa Chile

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

2:0

Aug 11, 2024 Segunda Division

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt

1:0

Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

1:1

Apr 9, 2016 Liga de Ascenso

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Negrete S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castro R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

D. Concepcion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 41 / 100

D. Concepcion 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

D. Puerto Montt D. Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Puerto Montt's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: D. Concepcion conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: D. Puerto Montt stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS D. Concepcion

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)

12 Jul

D. Concepcion

2 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

05 Jul

D. Puerto Montt

2 : 1

Huachipato

29 Jun

D. Puerto Montt

2 : 0

D. Concepcion

21 Jun

Huachipato

0 : 2

D. Puerto Montt

06 Jun

D. Puerto Montt

1 : 1

Cobreloa

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D. Concepcion

(Away)

12 Jul

D. Concepcion

2 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

06 Jul

D. Concepcion

2 : 0

Deportes Temuco

02 Jul

Huachipato

1 : 2

D. Concepcion

29 Jun

D. Puerto Montt

2 : 0

D. Concepcion

24 Jun

D. Concepcion

3 : 2

Huachipato

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