Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt

D. Puerto Montt

2 - 0

D. Concepcion

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Cardenas J.

46'

Sub

Caceres F. In: Mesias Gonzalez I. S.

Out: Caceres F.

46'

Negrete S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

D. Puerto Montt

20%

Draws

57%

D. Concepcion

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D. Concepcion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

D. Concepcion haven't matched D. Puerto Montt's recent run of results.
D. Concepcion are the model's pick here, at 70%.
D. Puerto Montt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor D. Puerto Montt, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 13%

D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	D. Puerto Montt	D. Concepcion
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	12
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.14	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	0.44	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt

2:0

Jun 29, 2026 Copa Chile

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

2:0

Aug 11, 2024 Segunda Division

D. Concepcion vs D. Puerto Montt

1:0

Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

1:1

Apr 9, 2016 Liga de Ascenso

D. Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Negrete S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castro R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.34

Avg xA / game 0.22

D. Concepcion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 14 / 100

D. Concepcion 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

D. Puerto Montt D. Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Puerto Montt's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: D. Concepcion conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

D. Puerto Montt has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS D. Concepcion

0.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)

08 Sept

D. Puerto Montt

1 : 2

Rangers

05 Sept

D. Puerto Montt

2 : 0

Curico Unido

30 Aug

Deportes Temuco

3 : 1

D. Puerto Montt

22 Aug

D. Puerto Montt

0 : 4

Deportes Iquique

16 Aug

S. Wanderers

1 : 1

D. Puerto Montt

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D. Concepcion

(Away)

05 Sept

D. Concepcion

0 : 1

A. Italiano

30 Aug

Nublense

0 : 1

D. Concepcion

23 Aug

D. Concepcion

1 : 1

Coquimbo

16 Aug

Cobresal

0 : 2

D. Concepcion

09 Aug

D. Concepcion

1 : 0

U. De Concepcion

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