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Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Venezia A.
21' Event
Ramos A.
46'
Sub
Castillo G. In: Vargas C.
Out: Castillo G.

AI Match Summary

Deportes Iquique in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportes Iquique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
D. Puerto Montt
15%
Draws
59%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt have won more games recently than Deportes Iquique.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 16%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Jul 29, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique
2:2
Mar 13, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt
1:1
Jul 26, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportes Iquique Compare

Top Goalscorer Venezia A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 31 / 100
Deportes Iquique 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Deportes Iquique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Iquique let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: D. Puerto Montt scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: D. Puerto Montt remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Deportes Iquique
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
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Deportes Iquique

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)