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D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

D. Puerto Montt host San Luis in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. San Luis have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while D. Puerto Montt have conceded 1.26 and scored 1. Past meetings favor San Luis slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.69) back San Luis to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
D. Puerto Montt
15%
Draws
71%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • San Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Luis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 13%
San Luis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt San Luis
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
4:1
Aug 20, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis
0:1
Sep 7, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
0:3
Apr 21, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 10 / 100
San Luis 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: D. Puerto Montt scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

San Luis has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

D. Puerto Montt has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS San Luis
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
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San Luis

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)